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Reconciliation with Damascus will imply for the Turkish President Erdogan to desert his strategic calculations and tasks.
The next is the English translation from Arabic of the most recent article by Turkish profession journalist Husni Mahali he revealed within the Lebanese Al-Mayadeen information website Al-Mayadeen Internet:
The information revealed by Hurriyet newspaper, loyal to Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, on April 3, has acquired large consideration in most Arab media retailers, because the newspaper said, “The Turkish authorities are conducting their discussions with the goal of dialogue with the Syrian authorities, with the intention to restore relations between the 2 international locations to its nature.”
The media and those that wrote in it didn’t take note of what was said within the information, because it was stated that “Turkey, in all its contacts with the Syrian administration, affirms 3 staple items, particularly, sovereignty and territorial integrity of Syria, making certain the lives of refugees returning to their nation, and stopping the Turkish Kurdistan Employees’ Get together from any exercise in Syria.
Opposite to what President Erdogan asserts every time, Ankara controls about 10% of the Syrian territory, which contradicts the notion of sovereignty and the unity of the Syrian territory. It additionally gives all types of assist to tens of 1000’s of militants of the so-called “Nationwide Military” established in Turkey, which it pays the salaries of all its personnel.
On high of that, Ankara’s objection to the Syrian military’s liberation of Idlib and its neighborhood, with out heeding the accusations leveled towards it concerning the connection with the terrorist of “Al-Nusra Entrance”, which incorporates 1000’s of overseas militants, and which obtains all its wants from Turkey, close to Idlib.
As for the return of Syrian refugees to their properties, many, together with the leaders of Turkish political events, wrote and spoke about Ankara obstructing the return of Syrian refugees to their nation, and it tells them that the dwelling and safety scenario in Syria could be very unhealthy, and it meets the wants of all Syrians residing within the areas managed by the Turkish military west and east of the Euphrates, as Protection Minister Hulusi Akar beforehand stated that “Turkey meets the wants of 9 million Syrians, 3.5 million of whom are in Turkey, and the remainder are inside Syria.”
Ankara believes that this Turkish place “contributes to the rise in Erdogan’s recognition in Syria usually.” As for the Kurdistan Employees’ Get together, which suggests the “SDF” and the Kurdish Folks’s Safety Items, the Syrian arm of the PKK, everybody remembers how Ankara had a detailed relationship with Salih Muslim, the chief of the Kurdistan Democratic Union Get together, and sought to influence him till the summer season of 2015 “to insurgent towards the Syrian state in change for guarantees to fulfill his calls for within the new Syria after the overthrow of the regime in Damascus.”
As everybody is aware of, Ankara, beneath the pretext of the aforementioned Kurdish militias, succeeded in persuading Washington and Moscow to permit it in October 2019 to penetrate east of the Euphrates and management a border strip of 110 km in size and 30 km in depth in some areas, which helped the Turkish forces to take management of strategic places within the area, as is the case within the Afrin area after taking management of it in March 2018.
All of this explains Ankara’s failure to abide by its commitments within the Sochi and Moscow agreements on Idlib and the Turkish army presence in northern Syria usually, regardless of the probabilities of a heated confrontation with the Syrian and Russian armies within the area, as occurred in February 2020.
It additionally explains President Erdogan’s fixed speak about his rejection of any resolution to the Syrian disaster, with out recognizing the principle Turkish position on this resolution, which should meet the Turkish circumstances in coordination and cooperation with the Syrian opposition, each political and armed, all of that are transferring in accordance with the Turkish agenda supported by Qatar, which is what President Erdogan exploits in his general bargaining with all events within the Syrian file regionally and internationally, particularly with the continuation of their present positions, which could be summed up in not dashing to take any decisive choice to shut this file.
President Erdogan sees this regional and worldwide scenario as a supply of energy for him, so long as the Arab capitals aren’t inspired to reconcile with President Assad, and he won’t consider reconciling with him till after the leaders of the principle Arab international locations, led by Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, and Qatar, reconcile.
Reconciliation in President Erdogan’s idea is for these leaders and others to contact President Assad, change visits with him, and open their embassies in Damascus with Israeli consent, as all of them did (Erdogan as properly) with the putschist Abdel Fattah al-Burhan (of Sudan), and collectively they deserted Imran Khan (of Pakistan) on American directions!
In different phrases, President Erdogan won’t take any initiative towards Damascus so long as he sees Assad as his “subordinate governor”, and sees himself because the “Ottoman Sultan”, that is what Assad stated, which President Qais Saeed (of Tunisia) reminded final week when he responded to Erdogan’s statements, who described his choice to dissolve the parliament as a “coup,” so he stated: “Tunisia just isn’t a province, and we’re not ready for a firman (from the Ottoman Sultan).”
We don’t ignore President Erdogan’s efforts to reconcile with Cairo, Riyadh, and Abu Dhabi, which he personally accused of plotting towards Turkey, at a time when President Assad and the Syrian state didn’t undertake any hostile motion towards Turkey, which proved, by way of its current actions, that it favors “Israel” with its terrorist regime over neighboring Syria, which by way of it, it entered the Arab area after the primary go to of Prime Minister Abdullah Gul to Damascus at first of 2003.
Though Gul, and even Davutoglu, who was stated on the time to be the architect of Turkish overseas coverage, turned within the trench towards Erdogan, it turned clear that the prospects for Turkish reconciliation with President Assad won’t ever be simple for the Turkish president.
Erdogan sees such reconciliation as a recognition of the defeat of his (Muslim Brotherhood) ideological undertaking, even when he deserted it throughout his bargains with “Tel Aviv” (Hamas and the Palestinians usually), Cairo (Egypt’s Brotherhood), Riyadh and Abu Dhabi.
As well as, reconciliation with Damascus will imply on the identical time abandoning his calculations, tasks, and strategic plans, particularly after he established a community of complicated army, intelligence, and political relations intertwined with very large Syrian sectors and teams, and that abandoning it won’t be simple for Ankara (what is going to it do with tens of 1000’s of militants?), which sees northern Syria as an extension of Turkish geography and a strategic depth for its nationwide safety, which Turkish officers have been repeating for the reason that beginnings of the Syrian disaster, and its primary participant is Erdogan, it appears clear that he won’t hand over this position till his final breath, so long as nobody asks him to take action, and President Assad won’t shock him by visiting Ankara!
Erdogan is ready for the positions of the Arab capitals, and extra importantly, “Tel Aviv”, as a result of he thinks, relatively he believes, that it’ll not provoke any reconciliation with Assad, after all, if he had not agreed with Herzog and Ibn Zayed on that, in any other case reconciliation with Syria have to be a precedence for Erdogan and the others, that is, after all, if they aren’t collectively on the disposal of “Tel Aviv”, the one beneficiary of the years of the bloody “Arab Spring”, throughout which they had been all collectively in a single trench towards President al-Assad, and with the confessions of Hamad bin Jassem, who continues to be whining as a result of “the prey escaped from them.” and catching it once more wants greater than a miracle!
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