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Sharad Pawar is aware of the Opposition doesn’t have the numbers to win the presidential polls. No less than two CMs, Naveen Patnaik and Jaganmohan Reddy, are holding their playing cards shut. And Pawar has no want to contest only for short-lived visibility and relevance
Within the present state of affairs, Opposition unity is a little bit of a mirage. As mirrored within the makes an attempt to cobble collectively a viable presidential candidate. After her dramatic win within the “Khela Hobe” (Sport On) marketing campaign within the West Bengal elections, Mamata Banerjee now needs to be the general skipper.
In order that introduced her to Delhi to supply a giant struggle earlier than the presidential polls happen in July. What she forgets, at occasions, is that the majority regional leaders resist being ushered right into a coalition umbrella with another person holding the joystick.
In her thoughts’s eye, she is a big killer. And now seemingly unstoppable, gaining essential momentum earlier than the subsequent Lok Sabha polls in 2024. Mamata clearly sees herself as the most effective Opposition different to what the BJP and NDA would provide.
The wily and elusive Sharad Pawar at 81 has seen way more of political life than most among the many Opposition ranks. Like a political model of Rahul Dravid, he is aware of which deliveries to let go. That’s his forte. He’s the “Bhishmapitamah” (Godfather) of Indian politics; whom somebody even like Narendra Modi meets periodically.
There have been no surprises when he let the provide of being the consensus candidate of the Opposition within the presidential elections move by. He is aware of the Opposition doesn’t have the numbers; with at the least two chief ministers: Naveen Patnaik and YS Jaganmohan Reddy holding their playing cards shut like good poker gamers. And Pawar has no want to contest only for short-lived visibility and relevance. He doesn’t want the publicity both.
Above all, why struggle a battle which you realize you can not win?
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Even earlier, when Mamata was making an attempt to shaft the Congress whereas rustling a metaphorical Opposition unity, Pawar had counselled that any try to take action sans the Congress could be futile. Allow us to not overlook that each Mamata and Pawar had been groomed within the Congress secure for a few years.
Pawar cleverly worded his refusal. He informed an Opposition meet that he “nonetheless has an lively political innings to play”. Towards this backdrop, two spent names have emerged from the mud of the assembly as potential candidates: Former Governor Gopal Gandhi and Farooq Abdullah of the Nationwide Convention.
The assembly, which was clouded by the absence of 5 key events, noticed some disagreement over a three-page assertion criticising Prime Minister Narendra Modi and the federal government, which got here up on the final minute.
The events lastly agreed to take 4 traces for his or her assertion to the media. Mamata stated that the Opposition wanted to take a seat collectively to debate “the bulldozing happening within the nation”.
Mamata had invited 22 events however 16 attended the assembly. They selected a 21 June deadline for naming a presidential candidate versus the nominee of the BJP and its allies.
Nonetheless smarting from the thumbs down by Sharad Pawar, Mamata tried to paper over the cracks. She stated, “If Sharad Pawar agreed, all people will give him help. However Pawar ji doesn’t agree, we’ll focus on.”
The presidential elections will happen on 18 July and the outcomes might be declared on 21 July. The final date for nominations is 29 June.
The Congress performed a intelligent hand by participating within the assembly and never getting embroiled in some egoistical battle. However leaders like Telangana chief minister Ok Chandrashekar Rao — who had bonded together with his Bengal counterpart over their widespread aim of defeating the BJP—determined to boycott it. The TRS stated there was “no query of sharing any platform with the Congress”.
The Akali Dal and the Aam Aadmi Get together (AAP) additionally opted out, protesting the Congress’ presence. The AAP stated that it will “take into account the matter solely after the presidential candidate is said”.
Jagan Reddy’s YSR Congress and Asaduddin Owaisi’s AIMIM weren’t invited.
Naveen Patnaik’s (Biju Janata Dal) position might be key within the presidential ballot, given the numbers. Naveen’s social gathering has 12 members within the Lok Sabha, 9 within the Rajya Sabha and 114 within the 147-member Odisha Meeting. Jagan Reddy’s YSRCP has 22 Lok Sabha seats, 9 within the Rajya Sabha and 151 out of 175 within the Andhra Meeting.
By way of electoral faculty votes, NDA wants one other 13,000 to see its nominee by means of, which suggests help from both BJD (31,686 votes) or YSRCP (43,450) might be sufficient.
No marvel the BJP prime brass has been in common contact with each Patnaik and Jagan Reddy.
The subsequent assembly, hosted by Pawar, might be held on 20 June in New Delhi to finalise the title. Within the meantime, Chief of the Opposition within the Rajya Sabha Mallikarjun Kharge, Pawar and Mamata have been allotted the duty of talking to heads of all Opposition events.
Lately Congress, principally, appears sluggish on the uptake. Sandwiched between additional political erosion and the Gandhi household being beleaguered for its personal causes, management has taken a beating. Whereas Congress president Sonia Gandhi was the primary off the block to achieve out to the Opposition leaders to construct a consensus quickly after the Election Fee introduced the ballot dates for the election, it was Mamata who tried to steal a march.
Mamata jabbed on the alleged misuse of Central companies, citing the Enforcement Directorate’s case towards Congress president Sonia Gandhi and Rahul Gandhi. She was additionally crucial of the BJP’s Kashmir coverage. The Governor’s workplace, she stated, was being overtly misused to create blockages for the states. Level to recollect is Mamata’s nephew, Abhishek Banerjee, is being investigated whereas she has had quite a few tussles with the Governor.
Mallikarjun Kharge of the Congress wished the Opposition to be proactive and never reactive. He did drop a touch on the finish. “Let me shut by saying that we should stay united and disciplined and never rating political factors towards one another.”
Sadly, Opposition unity stays within the realm of a mirage because the Congress, regardless of its national-level claims, is now confined to solely two states. It’s now not the spine of any Opposition unity initiative. But, Rahul Gandhi made a degree saying regional events would by no means have the imaginative and prescient or house to struggle the enemy in New Delhi.
On this miasma of distrust, private ambition, shifting sands of politics and the Lok Sabha elections of 2024 looming massive, the Opposition hopes it might consolidate. However the million-dollar query is: Who or what is going to unite them?
The creator is CEO of nnis. Views expressed are private.
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