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Plainly Erdogan doesn’t and won’t take into account reconciliation with President al-Assad, as a result of difficult calculations, so long as he advantages from his presence in Syria, which is his most essential card within the total bargains with the US and Russian sides.
The next is the English translation from Arabic of the most recent article by Turkish profession journalist Husni Mahali he revealed within the Lebanese Al-Mayadeen information web site Al-Mayadeen Web:
In my final article dated July 16, entitled: “Erdogan between Biden and Putin… The place is the escape?” I talked in regards to the doable outcomes of the Tehran summit, and I mentioned: “Whereas ready for the tangible and sensible outcomes of the Jeddah summit, particularly with regard to the regional alliance towards Iran and the Gulf nations’ assembly of Biden’s fuel and oil calls for, which Erdogan will watch intently, others will guess on the outcomes of the Tehran summit, throughout which (Russian President) Putin and (Iranian President) Raisi will search to influence Erdogan of the need of reconciliation with President al-Assad “so long as the dangers that threaten each side are shared,” and by that it means the US and European-backed Kurdish militias east of the Euphrates.
At a time when it appears clear that Erdogan doesn’t and won’t take into consideration such reconciliation, as a result of complicated calculations, so long as he advantages from his presence in Syria (as is the case in Libya), which is his most essential card within the total bargaining with the American and Russian sides and seeks to confront each of them with tens of hundreds of militants and loyalists, and hundreds of them are from Chechnya and Uyghurs, Erdogan’s most harmful weapon in confronting not solely exterior pressures but in addition to confront doable eventualities earlier than, throughout and after the upcoming elections.”
The outcomes of the summit got here on this context, as Erdogan continued his conventional method of rejecting a last answer to the Syrian disaster, regardless of the ultimate assertion he signed, and with Erdogan (Tel Aviv’s new pal) shocking everybody, alongside Raisi and Putin, by condemning the Israeli assaults on Syrian websites, with confirming Syria’s sovereignty over the occupied Golan.
Erdogan additionally shocked everybody when he “denounced the terrorist acts focusing on civilian amenities in varied elements of Syria, however with out naming the events who perform these operations. Erdogan additionally affirmed with Putin and Raisi “the sovereignty, independence, unity and territorial integrity of the Syrian Arab Republic, and rejected any motion that contradicts that, no matter its supply, and reject separatist tendencies and terrorist acts focusing on neighboring nations.” And as typical, Idlib was an important matter on the summit, because the three leaders careworn of their joint assertion, “the necessity to implement all agreements and understandings associated to Idlib and the de-escalation zones, and the necessity for joint motion to make sure the continuity of the present scenario in Idlib.”
With out neglecting to handle “the work of the Constitutional Committee inside the framework of the Astana understandings,” it spoke of the “necessity of the return of Syrian refugees to their unique locations.”
That is from the assertion issued on the conclusion of the summit, which ended with the press convention of the three presidents, and every spoke from his personal angle, with the Russian-Iranian views an identical and Erdogan not agreeing with them, which was clear throughout his speech on the press convention, the place he mentioned that they’re “decided to uproot the roots of terrorism from Syria, which targets the nationwide safety of Turkey,” stressing “the significance and necessity of joint motion towards ISIS, the Kurdistan Staff’ Celebration and the Kurdish Folks’s Safety Items,” and mentioned about them, “It’s a hazard to everybody.”
With out forgetting, Erdogan “holds the ‘regime’ chargeable for the failure of the work of the Constitutional Committee and the failure to implement most of the understandings and agreements associated to Idlib,” expressing “his satisfaction with the calm prevailing over the scenario there.”
The refugees, as typical, had been among the many most essential paragraphs of the speech, throughout which Erdogan reiterated his well-known place and his speak about housing Syrians within the properties that Turkey is constructing for them within the neighborhood of Idlib, stressing the necessity for his or her protected, honorable and dignified return to their nation, which have to be assured by the three nations, United Nations, and the humanitarian organizations, as what he mentioned, referring to “the shortage of belief and confidence of the refugees in President Assad.”
That is in short in regards to the contradiction between the written and the audible about President Erdogan’s place, and the image clearly expressed this place, as the top of the intelligence service, Hakan Fidan, sat straight behind him, and Protection Minister Hulusi Akar was subsequent to him as if Erdogan wished to inform everybody, “That is my language in coping with the events to the Syrian disaster.”
As for the second image, within the Turkish place, the non-public, governmental and pro-Erdogan media shops ignored the statements of Presidents Putin and President Raisi, and confirmed “Erdogan’s constant place on the problem of the PKK and the Kurdish Folks’s Safety Items”, and thought of this a victory for Turkish diplomacy… And these media shops broadcast and with them Social media platforms a brief video of President Putin within the room alone ready for President Erdogan to come back and thought of this “a intelligent stance from Erdogan, which Putin made him wait in entrance of the assembly corridor within the Kremlin Palace on March 5, 2020,” the place they met to debate the stress in Idlib.
It was and nonetheless is, i.e. Idlib, the primary matter within the Turkish-Russian/Iranian dialogue inside the framework of the Astana understandings and agreements associated to that. Ankara has evaded all of its commitments and pledges that President Erdogan signed in Sochi on September 17, 2018, after which Moscow on March 5, 2020, which included the disarmament of terrorist teams in Idlib, referring to al-Nusra Entrance (Al Qaeda Levant aka HTS) and its allies. It’s unusual that the ultimate assertion in Tehran didn’t handle it, neither in identify nor in content material, which Erdogan thought of a victory for him, on condition that Ankara is the primary guarantor of the “calm that hangs over the area.”
The opposite contradiction between the ultimate assertion and President Erdogan’s speech, which affirmed his dedication to the independence, sovereignty, and territorial integrity of Syria, is that Erdogan and the assertion additionally didn’t speak in regards to the continued complete and absolute Turkish help in any respect ranges for the tens of hundreds of militants of the so-called Syrian Nationwide Military, which was established in Ankara In October 2019, shortly earlier than the incursion of the Turkish military, together with these militants east of the Euphrates, to manage the world stretching from Tal Abyad to Ras al-Ain, with a size of 110 km and a depth of 30 km.
That is what the Turkish military did earlier than that in Afrin and its neighborhood in January 2016, and within the space extending from Jarabulus to Al-Bab to Azaz in August 2016. All this was accomplished with a Russian inexperienced gentle that made Turkey an important component in all regional and worldwide developments, equations, and calculations relating to Syria. Turkey, with its varied businesses, controls 9 % of its lands, and opposite to the assertion that talked in regards to the unity of the Syrian soil and the sovereignty of the state over all of this soil, he didn’t converse even in a sentence in regards to the Turkish presence (in northern Syria). With its continuation, the answer in Syria doesn’t and won’t be quickly, so long as Ankara sees President Assad as “the primary motive for all of the occasions in Syria and the continuation of the present scenario in it now,” which Erdogan has repeated a number of occasions in his speech in Tehran (and on many events) to say: “Turkey isn’t the reason for the disaster to bears the accountability for fixing it alone,” and with out it, this answer can’t be achieved!
Lastly, and returning to my earlier article, which I referred to in the beginning of this text, preacher Ahmed Mahmud Onli shocked everybody together with his fiery statements towards Erdogan and the state equipment, with out naming them, accusing it of inciting civil warfare, after it armed its loyalists in varied elements of the nation.”
That is what the chief of the Republican Folks’s Celebration, Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu, spoke about a number of occasions when he referred to “the key and harmful relations between the pro-Erdogan state businesses and terrorist teams in Idlib,” which is the key of the Turkish place that rejects any regional and worldwide answer of the scenario there, no less than till the subsequent elections. Observers put many thrilling and terrifying eventualities for it, so long as Erdogan doesn’t and won’t surrender energy, irrespective of how a lot it prices him internally and externally, and in Syria specifically!
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