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By Kalyani Shankar
Regardless of making an attempt laborious for many years, the BJP has little or no presence within the southern states besides ruling Karnataka. The South contributes 129 seats, of which the BJP has solely 29. Notably, political churning is going on in Tamil Nadu, the place BJP is all set to seize the house using piggyback on its ally AIADMK.
The social gathering strategists have realized a must penetrate the South to retain and enhance its total tally in 2024 Lok Sabha polls and readied its ”Operation Dakshin Vijay.” The intention is to cut back the North-South divide and put together for the 2024 Lok Sabha polls. It’s going to achieve momentum after the Meeting polls in Himachal Pradesh and Gujarat.
Nearly eighteen months earlier than the scheduled Parliament elections the BJP has recognized two massive targets in south India — Tamil Nadu and Telangana (each dominated by regional events). Karnataka’s election is a couple of months away, and Telangana will face elections in lower than a 12 months. Prime BJP leaders, together with Prime Minister Narendra Modi and House Minister Amit Shah, have begun to go to the South extra usually.
Tamil Nadu posed a problem in each the 2014 and 2019Lok Sabha polls. Undaunted by the dominant Dravidian events BJP is making an attempt to undertaking itself as a 3rd various BJP has been unsuccessful within the state for numerous causes. First, it has but to develop tall, charismatic state leaders to match the decisive Dravidian management.
Secondly, Tamil Nadu has embraced the Dravidian ideology for greater than 5 many years. Even Congress misplaced its dominance after 1967 elections when the DMK captured the state. Since then, the 2 primary Dravidian events – the DMK and the AIADMK have been ruling the state alternately. The BJP’s Hindutva has non-appeal for the state.
Thirdly, Tamil Nadu is against the imposition of Hindi. because the third language in colleges.
Fourthly, Tamil Nadu has no attraction for caste coalitions and social justice. Subsequently, nationwide events just like the Congress, BJP, CPI, and CPI-M have been using piggyback on the DMK and the AIADMK coalitions.
The BJP’s preparations for the 2024 elections had begun with its state president Okay. Annamalai sounding the ballot bugle in a celebration conference held at Madurai just lately. Added to that was the enhance from Prime Minister Narendra Modi and House Minister Amit Shah’s go to final week. The political actions in all of the events are reaching a pitch after Modi’s official go to.
Shah held a prolonged assembly in Kamalalaya, the BJP headquarters in Chennai, and mentioned the social gathering’s ballot technique. He harassed the necessity for using the current vacuum within the state after the dying of two stalwart leaders – M. Karunanidhi (DMK) and J.Jayalalithaa (AIADMK). Whereas M.Okay. Stalin is ruling the state, the AIADMK is sort of engaged in authorized and political wrangling.
The AIADMK in the present day is a divided social gathering and suffers from factionalism. The social gathering’s two groups- headed by two former chief ministers, Edappadi Palaniswami (EPS) and O Panneerselvam (OPS) are preventing legally and politically for its management.
V.Okay. Sasikala, Jayalalithaa’s companion for greater than three many years, threatens to seize the social gathering after her launch from jail. Her nephew TTV Dhinakaran has already arrange his social gathering, AMMK, and contested 2021 however with a 5 p.c vote share. With this four-way break up and no cohesiveness, the social gathering cadres are directionless. The BJP has discreetly stored out of the AIADMK factionalism however has made it clear to the ally that it must unite to make a profitable alliance earlier than 2024 polls.
The BJP will likely be a part of the AIADMK-led alliance. But It features as the principle opposition social gathering criticizing the Stalin authorities. Even after the dying of Karunanidhi and Jaya, the 2 Dravidian events have greater than 30 p.c vote share every whereas the BJP received simply 3 p.c.
Aside from the principle opposition social gathering, AIADMK, the state has a number of small however crucial political events, such because the PMK, DMDK, Naam Tamilar Katchi, MDMK, and the national-level Congress social gathering, all with some pockets of affect. The CPI and the CPI(M) are retaining a caste-neutral picture. The BJP is making an attempt to increase its outreach from present pockets of Nadars, Gounders, and Devendra Kula Vellalar.
The main target is on the western and southern districts of Thoothukudi, Tirunelveli and Kanyakumari. The social gathering targets an formidable 20 p.c vote share in 2024 and at the very least ten seats.
Nonetheless, the alliance a part of the 2 coalitions nonetheless must be mounted. In spite of everything, there are nonetheless time to resolve as all events have an open thoughts besides the Communist events. The BJP would nudge Stalin to dump Congress. EPS faction needs to desert the BJP and even go by itself with different smaller events.
With such altering equations, it’s tough to foretell now, however of the 2 coalitions, the DMK-led alliance appears regular.
In politics, one week is alleged to be lengthy, and 18 month interval may be very lengthy. (IPA Service)
The publish BJP Is Planning Massive For Its Southern Conquest In Coming Two Years first appeared on IPA Newspack.
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