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KUALA LUMPUR, Aug 16 — The Pakatan Harapan-Barisan Nasional (PH-BN) pact is unlikely to copy its success within the Negeri Sembilan election just by exporting its association there to different elements of Malaysia, based on political analysts.
Universiti Malaya political analyst Mohammad Tawfik Yaakub stated the politics in Negeri Sembilan differed from states like Penang and Selangor the place Perikatan Nasional (PN) was in a position to remove seats from the pact.
“The 14 seats received by BN in Negeri Sembilan are resulting from a number of components. Firstly, Malay voters in Negeri Sembilan have a robust attachment to traditions, and I imagine that the affect of conventional cultural hierarchy influences their alternative.
“Secondly, there may be an influential determine in Negeri Sembilan, akin to Datuk Seri Mohamad Hasan, who is ready to entice assist as he as soon as ruled the state as menteri besar, and thirdly there isn’t a dominant difficulty involving the Malays in Negeri Sembilan,” Tawfik advised Malay Mail when contacted.
Within the six state elections final week, PN received 22 out of 56 state seats in Selangor and 11 out of 40 state seats in Penang. These are two states thought of PH strongholds.
Nonetheless, it was restricted to only 5 seats out of the 31 in Negeri Sembilan, regardless of voter demographics that labored in its favour elsewhere.
“PN nonetheless finds it troublesome to broaden its affect on the grassroots degree of the Malays in Negeri Sembilan because the Malays within the state maintain strongly to their customs and are nearer to the get together that has carried out effectively and served them relatively than a celebration or coalition that by no means ruled the state,” Tawfik stated.
Whereas saying that there was discontent amongst voters and supporters in direction of BN chairman and Umno president Datuk Seri Ahmad Zahid Hamidi, Tawfik stated this was subdued in Negeri Sembilan.
“The problems surrounding Zahid aren’t dominant in Negeri Sembilan as a result of Tok Mat’s (Mohamad) picture outshines that.
Datuk Seri Mohamad Hasan is an influential determine in Negeri Sembilan who is ready to entice assist as he as soon as ruled the state as menteri besar, say analysts. — Bernama pic
“PN solely managed to play up the Zahid difficulty and nationwide points within the 5 areas they received, which decreased Malay assist (for PH-BN),” he stated, including that voters in Penang and Selangor selected PN resulting from anger in direction of Zahid.
In Negeri Sembilan, PN received Gemas, Serting, Labu, Bagan Pinang, and Paroi.
Nonetheless, this might have been extra as PH-BN candidates solely received with majorities of between 500 and 1,000 votes in Juasseh, Kota, Ampangan, Seri Menanti, Sungai Lui, Klawang, Serting, Palong, Jeram Padang, Lenggeng, and Senaling.
College of Malaya Centre for Democracy and Elections (UMcedel) sociopolitical analyst Affiliate Professor Awang Azman Awang Pawi stated one of many variations between Negeri Sembilan and the opposite states was that DAP supporters there have been extra receptive to BN.
“So you may’t take Negeri Sembilan for example, and use that as a base for different states.
“Zahid’s presence in Negeri Sembilan will not be as noticeable in comparison with different states, and Negeri Sembilan voters should not bothered with politics exterior of the state.
“They’re appreciative of what Tok Mat has achieved for them and that was their focus through the state election,” Awang Azman stated.
In response to analysts, Negeri Sembilan voters are appreciative of what Tok Mat has achieved for them and that was their focus through the state election. — Bernama pic
In response to Nusantara Academy for Strategic Analysis (NASR) senior fellow Azmi Hassan, Umno in Negeri Sembilan was seen in a different way by state voters than the get together on the federal degree.
“Umno seems to be very robust in Negeri Sembilan, not very robust when it comes to political standing, however very robust in going through PH within the state.
“And I feel one of many causes is, Tok Mat is there, and that’s the reason he contested. Primarily based on 2018 outcomes, I might say it was a good sport between PH and BN, they had been each robust.
“And once more within the 2022 basic election, comparable outcomes for parliamentary seats for each PH and BN, and the notion that Tok Mat was contesting gave the Malay voters an impression that the menteri besar candidate may very well be from Umno, and that’s the notion to indicate the standing of Umno and that ranges the enjoying floor with PH then,” Azmi stated.
Within the state election in Penang, the PH-BN unity pact misplaced all state seats that had been below Permatang Pauh — Seberang Jaya, Penanti and Permatang Pasir. These seats had been slimmer majorities in comparison with the Permatang Pauh defeat within the fifteenth basic election when PKR’s former vice-president Nurul Izzah Anwar misplaced the seat to PN.
The PN coalition had additionally managed to wrestle some mixed-race seats akin to Kulim and Derga, that are each in Kedah.
It was a clear sweep for PN in Terengganu and an nearly comparable victory occurred in Kelantan with 43 out of 45 seats received by the coalition, whereas in Kedah they bagged 30 out of 36 state seats.
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