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The invention that the Individuals’s Republic of China is increasing its nuclear arsenal, Russia’s “suspension” of the New START arms management treaty and aggression in Ukraine, and North Korea’s evolving nuclear capabilities have led some to argue that the US must broaden its personal nuclear forces to discourage these potential adversaries. This Perspective articulates a framework for figuring out “how a lot is sufficient” for U.S. nuclear forces within the rising strategic surroundings. The writer argues that adversary perceptions, reasonably than quantitative comparisons, needs to be the first standards for sizing U.S. nuclear forces.
This Perspective was sponsored by the Smith Richardson Basis and performed inside the Worldwide Safety and Protection Coverage Program of the RAND Nationwide Safety Analysis Division (NSRD).
This publication is a part of the RAND Company Perspective collection. RAND Views current professional insights on well timed coverage points. All RAND Views endure peer evaluation to make sure excessive requirements for high quality and objectivity.
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