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On October 28, the Bangladesh Nationalist Occasion (BNP) organized a large rally in Dhaka. Regardless of police intimidation, hundreds of individuals from all around the nation converged on the capital to demand the resignation of Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina and the set up of a non-partisan caretaker authorities to supervise nationwide elections to be held in January 2024.
The BNP is Bangladesh’s predominant opposition get together. Its rallies in recent times have largely been non-violent.
Nevertheless, the October 28 rally was not in a position to proceed peacefully as violence broke out between BNP activists on the one hand and police and ruling Awami League members on the opposite. Not less than three folks, together with a policeman and a BNP activist, have been reportedly killed. Police filed homicide fees in opposition to many BNP leaders, together with Normal Secretary Mirza Fakhrul Islam Alamgir, who has been arrested. The homes of many BNP leaders have been raided, prompting Day by day Prothom Alo to publish an editorial stating that the arrest of BNP leaders will solely deepen the political disaster in Bangladesh.
Police allege that BNP activists set fireplace to autos. A Day by day Star report quoting witnesses mentioned that youth carrying police vests set fireplace to no less than one automobile, complicating a easy narrative of violence.
A Dhaka-based analyst, who spoke to The Diplomat on situation of anonymity, mentioned that the Day by day Star report signifies that the state might have been concerned in sabotaging BNP’s political rally to make it seem violent.
In July 2023, Alamgir alleged in a press convention that members of varied intelligence businesses and ruling get together males torched autos guilty it on the BNP.
Nevertheless, the ruling get together and police denied this declare and blamed the BNP. In most cases, the arsonists stay at giant.
In accordance with the New York Occasions round 2.5 million BNP activists have been slapped with fees, that are often imprecise, and accompanied by “shoddy” proof in circumstances that appear politically motivated.
Previously decade, human rights organizations have famous that tons of of individuals have been extrajudicially killed and forcefully disappeared. Most of them are BNP leaders and activists. Many are languishing in jails, whereas others have fled the nation and residing in exile in Malaysia, the U.Ok., the U.S., Australia, and Canada amongst different nations.
BNP chair Khaleda Zia is critically sick. Her son, performing chair Tarique Rahman, has been residing in exile in London since 2008. after surviving torture in custody. But the BNP is flourishing on the streets.
Pictures of the BNP rally posted on social media and information reviews of the occasion point out that a lot of rickshaw pullers and day laborers participated, indicating that the BNP’s marketing campaign is resonating with the lots. This can be the rationale why the AL authorities has swooped in to cease BNP rallies earlier than it turns into a mass motion.
Why are Bangladeshis becoming a member of the BNP and collaborating in its rallies, realizing the dangers concerned in associating with the get together?
There are a number of causes underlying rising assist for the opposition, together with the financial downturn, ongoing state repression, harassment of BNP activists, and the U.S. imposition of sanctions on Bangladeshi safety officers for human rights violations.
Most vital is Tarique Rahman’s management within the capability of performing chairman of the get together. He’s the son of former President Ziaur Rahman and former Prime Minister Khaleda Zia.
Tarique has been convicted in a number of circumstances, together with a grenade assault on an AL rally on August 21, 2004. His spouse Zubaida Rahman, who’s a doctor and was by no means concerned in politics, was not too long ago charged in a graft case the place he was named too.
BNP denies all the costs and claims that the allegations are politically motivated. Curiously, beforehand a decrease courtroom choose who acquitted Tarique on a graft case fled the nation. Bangladesh’s anti-corruption fee filed a case in opposition to that choose.
The AL authorities has declared the publishing or broadcasting of Tarique’s speeches to be unlawful.
In accordance with BNP sources, Tarique took lively management of the BNP in 2018. From his residence in London, he has been addressing get together activists in villages and cities through WhatsApp and Zoom. This implies so much for get together activists as they really feel they’ve direct entry to the son of a former president and prime minister.
The “BNP is now Tarique Rahman’s get together,” a journalist in Dhaka informed The Diplomat, stating he has change into “a grassroots chief from London.” He has sturdy assist amongst BNP leaders too and “with out his blessings, no chief can garner grassroots assist within the get together.”
In accordance with a latest report in Day by day Prothom Alo, which claims to have drawn on the opinion of a number of high AL policymakers, a key cause for the federal government crackdown on the BNP is to weaken Tarique’s unprecedented affect within the get together. The federal government needs to convey to BNP leaders that they don’t have any future in the event that they observe Tarique, the report says.
The Day by day Prothom Alo report claims that Tarique is in opposition to the BNP collaborating in an election beneath the Hasina authorities. Due to this fact, the crackdown on the BNP can also be presumably aimed toward pressuring the get together to take part within the election. The AL authorities is apprehensive of further punitive measures by the US if the election is perceived as one-sided.
A torture survivor and chief of a celebration that has suffered the “enforced disappearance” of its leaders and activists, Tarique not too long ago introduced that if the BNP involves energy, it will signal the Worldwide Conference for the Safety of All Individuals from Enforced Disappearance, which Bangladesh just isn’t a signatory to at current
A number of get together sources declare that Tarique has averted adopting violence in road protests and is concentrated on making the BNP’s marketing campaign a mass motion for democracy. The Diplomat couldn’t independently confirm this declare.
A extremely positioned AL supply informed The Diplomat that the AL believes that as long as Tarique is in a management place within the BNP, exterior powers — India specifically — won’t settle for the BNP as he’s perceived to be anti-India.
A leaked diplomatic cable from former U.S. Ambassador to Bangladesh James T. Moriarty in 2008 revealed he too was extremely essential of Tarique, though the U.S. place on Bangladesh politics has now evidently modified.
In an interview with The Diplomat simply days forward of his arrest, Alamgir mentioned that the “BNP just isn’t anti-Indian.” Referring to India’s unwavering assist for the AL, Alamgir mentioned that the BNP “expects India to assist the folks of Bangladesh over any political get together.”
U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for South and Central Asian Affairs Donald Lu has condemned the violence on October 28 and introduced that the US will probably be reviewing all violent incidents for doable visa restrictions.
The European Union tweeted that it’s “important {that a} peaceable warfare ahead for participatory and peaceable election is discovered,” indicating that it’s not prepared to just accept yet one more election that’s skewed within the ruling get together’s favor.
Now that the AL authorities has launched a brand new marketing campaign of intimidation towards the BNP, which incorporates arresting its top-tier management, how will the BNP sort out this stress? And what would be the response of the worldwide neighborhood, particularly of the U.S. and EU within the days forward?
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