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Making certain navy entry to the territory of allies and companions within the Indo-Pacific within the occasion of a future battle with China is a crucial concern for U.S. policymakers. The bodily and political geography of the area sharply limits U.S. choices to such an extent that some allied and companion choices to offer or refuse entry may decide the result of a battle. A clearer understanding of how and why U.S. allies and companions are more likely to make conflict-phase entry choices, and what U.S. policymakers can do to have an effect on the choices forward of time, is subsequently important.
On this report, the authors look at how U.S. allies and companions make conflict-phase entry choices and the way the USA and the U.S. Air Power (USAF) may be capable to affect choices prematurely. The authors developed a framework for assessing such decisionmaking, then utilized it to 5 particular allies and companions within the area (Japan, the Philippines, Singapore, Indonesia, and India) to evaluate their strategic outlooks, inside politics, and financial incentives and to determine the peacetime coverage levers which are most promising for affecting the states’ decisionmaking.
The analysis reported right here was commissioned by Pacific Air Forces (PACAF) and performed throughout the Technique and Doctrine Program of RAND Mission AIR FORCE.
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