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By Sushil Kutty
The nonetheless nascent state of Telangana is up for its first nice alternative with Telangana Chief Minister, the nice Ok. Chandrashekar Rao – ‘KCR’ for brief – poised to make his exit if the exit polls of November 30 are to go by. The exit polls have given Telangana to the Congress and KCR’s Bharat Rashtra Samithi and Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Occasion are behaving like sore losers.
“Sore” as a result of each the BRS and the BJP are refusing to just accept the exit polls’ predictions. The 2 had no objections when early on, the exit polls predicted a “shut, tight struggle”, which was higher than to be advised they might be out of reckoning within the heats itself. Curiously, whereas the BRS appeared to just accept the fait accompli, it was the BJP which refused to concede defeat to exit polls.
Exit polls are solely predictions – an evaluation of what may very well be, and never what is going to come. The true numbers will probably be out solely on December 3 when the votes will probably be counted and the outcomes declared. Until then suffice to say that exit polls have a behavior of coming too shut for consolation of all events within the fray.
In Telangana’s case –- Sonia Gandhi’s Congress, KCR’s Bharat Rashtra Samithi and Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Occasion. Earlier, through the day and up till 6 pm, Telangana voted with out pause and the predictions of the exit polls had been anticipated for not solely Telangana, but additionally for the states of Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan and Mizoram.
Telangana promised an fringe of the seat suspense. However by 9 pm when primetime TV speak reveals had been in full slanging match-mode, the exit polls had been exhibiting the Congress forward by a mile and extra, leaving BRS behind – and the BJP approach, approach behind. Will the promised rout of the BJP and the BRS come true, vindicating the exit polls? For Telangana, two exit polls have predicted large Congress wins whereas a pair have held again with the prognosis of a “tight contest”.
The youngest state of India is in a tri-cornered contest. The end result on December 3 will set the stage for the subsequent 5 years. Each KCR and his celebration BRS had set their eyes and expectations on a hat-trick. Now KCR should be on tenterhook. If the BRS tastes mud, KCR’s nationwide ambitions would fly out the window. Who doesn’t know that KCR desires to be Prime Minister and foist his son KTR as the subsequent Chief Minister of Telangana?
Extra essential, whoever thought the Congress would lay declare to Telangana? Concern that the exit polls can’t go mistaken has gripped BRS. KCR’s marketing campaign for a primary BRS time period – a 3rd TRS time period – may come to naught on December 3. KCR was up in opposition to not solely double anti-incumbency but additionally in opposition to a rejuvenated Congress which remains to be working on Bharat Jodo Yatra steam.
A Congress victory on December 3 and the Congress will probably be on a powerful Telangana wicket for the 2024 normal elections, which ought to put the jitters within the BJP. With Karnataka within the kitty and Kerala a tremendous prospect, the Congress will probably be on the high of its recreation in South India in 2024, the place the Bharatiya Janata Occasion has been attempting to get a foothold for donkey’s years and never making it past a few “governments” in Karnataka.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi is on report that Telangana is the BJP’s gateway to South India. The exit polls have dispelled that notion. Prime Minister Narendra Modi is doomed to attend. The possibilities are pretty good {that a} Congress victory in Telangana might shut the BJP out of South India for an additional 5 years. The south Indian states of Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and Kerala account for as much as 150 Lok Sabha seats.
The BJP needed to make amends for dropping Karnataka with victory in Telangana. Which may not occur with the exit polls suggesting the BJP may get fewer seats than even Asaduddin Owaisi’s AIMIM. If the Congress wins Telangana, as predicted by the exit polls, an enormous a part of the credit score should go to state Congress President Revanth Reddy, who will probably be challenged for the Chief Minister’s publish, assert some Congress insiders.
The Congress had 22 MLAs within the outgoing meeting in comparison with the Bharat Rashtra Samiti’s 88. Of the 17 MP seats, the Bharatiya Janata Occasion had 4 and the BRS 9, leaving one for the AIMIM and ‘3’ to the Congress. A Congress victory in these meeting elections will go away the 2024 normal elections in Telangana broad open with the Congress entering into the battle with a psychological edge over the Bharatiya Janata Occasion and the Bharat Rashtra Samithi. (IPA Service)
The publish Congress Will Have A Large Breakthrough If The Occasion Wins In Telangana first appeared on Newest India information, evaluation and reviews on IPA Newspack.
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