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Turkmen President Sedar Berdimuhamedov paid a state go to to China from January 5 to six, on the invitation of Chinese language President Xi Jinping. It was the primary high-level trade between China and a Central Asian nation within the new yr. Throughout the go to, the 2 presidents introduced the upgrading of the China-Turkmenistan relationship to a complete strategic partnership, a brand new top for bilateral relations.
In recent times, China has elevated engagement with Central Asian states sharply, each bilaterally and multilaterally. Final yr, Xi visited Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan in his first journey overseas because the pandemic started; now the Turkmen president is the primary Central Asian chief (and the second overseas chief general) acquired by China in 2023. The frequent exchanges between the top of states mirror that China attaches higher significance to Central Asia, which has undertaken an ever extra important position in China’s neighborhood diplomacy, particularly after the Russia-Ukraine struggle.
China has solid complete strategic partnerships with all of the Central Asian states. China established a complete strategic partnership with Kazakhstan in 2011 and later elevated it to a everlasting complete strategic partnership, This was adopted by Uzbekistan in 2016, Tajikistan in 2017, and Kyrgyzstan in 2018. Turkmenistan is the final nation in Central Asia to develop such ties with China.
On the regional and multilateral degree, China proposed the institution of a China-Central Asia (C+C5) cooperation mechanism, a brand new format of multilateral cooperation between China and Central Asian nations outdoors the Shanghai Cooperation Group (SCO). With the help of Turkmenistan and different Central Asian nations, the primary “C+C5” summit is anticipated to be held this yr.
On the identical time, China has signed cooperation agreements below the Belt and Highway Initiative (BRI) with all of the Central Asian states to strengthen synergy between the BRI and their very own nationwide improvement methods. Bodily connectivity equivalent to cross-border railways, gasoline and oil cooperation, commerce, and funding are essential within the BRI agreements.
It’s noteworthy {that a} cross-border railway was talked about within the China-Turkmenistan talks, following on elevated consideration to the China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan (CKU) railway challenge, introduced up by Xi throughout his go to to Uzbekistan final yr. As Turkmenistan borders Uzbekistan, Afghanistan, Iran, and the Caspian Sea, the China-Turkmenistan railway will likely be an extension to the CKU rail line. It’s hoped the China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan-Turkmenistan (CKUT) railway turns into a actuality within the coming years.
Working west to Iran and south to Afghanistan, the CKUT railway will likely be a Eurasian transportation artery and a principal rail line connecting Central Asia, South Asia, and the Center East. Given ambitions for the China-Pakistan Financial Hall (CPEC) to be expanded into Afghanistan, if the CKUT can be prolonged to Afghanistan, a railway community could be established linking China, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Afghanistan and Pakistan.
That is strategically important to power cooperation between China and Central Asian and South Asian nations, in addition to the financial ties between them. On one hand, the cross-border rail line will make it simpler to move petroleum and pure gasoline, fostering extra pipeline development. Notably, China reached an oil exploitation deal with Afghanistan in latest days. Alternatively, the imbalance in commerce between the nations alongside the road may additionally be redressed, contemplating the elevated exports to China from Central and South Asia. The cross-border rail line might thereby inject political and financial vitality to China-Central Asia-South Asia trilateral relations.
On the identical time, South Asia specifically has been one of many principal arenas of terrorist assaults focusing on Chinese language employees and pursuits. For the reason that outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, the broader area has witnessed waves of home protests and violence towards governments, and resulting in the ouster of incumbent ruling events in some states equivalent to Pakistan and Sri Lanka. Furthermore, the financial melancholy and even financial disaster partially attributable to the pandemic and the advanced geological circumstances within the space are additionally the principle obstacles to the development of cross-border railways within the area.
There are some difficulties for China to make the imaginative and prescient of a cross-border railway in Central and South Asia a actuality. It’s price allowing for that difficulties don’t essentially derail such tasks. Regardless of unstable home politics and the good technical difficulties of constructing railways within the Himalayas, in December China initiated a feasibility examine for the China-Nepal cross-border railway. Due to this fact, a protracted railway throughout China, Central Asia, and South Asia should be possible sooner or later, and it might considerably change each geopolitics and geoeconomics within the area.
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