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Kerala Assembly Elections 2026: Manjeswaram set for another photo finish as key players line up

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Home Southern Asia India

Kerala Assembly Elections 2026: Manjeswaram set for another photo finish as key players line up

by Asia Today Team
March 21, 2026
in India
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Manjeswaram, one in all Kerala’s most carefully watched Meeting constituencies identified for razor-thin margins, is headed for one more tight contest within the Meeting election scheduled on April 9, 2026.

Bordering Karnataka, the constituency has largely remained a stronghold of the Indian Union Muslim League, an alliance companion of the United Democratic Entrance (UDF). For the reason that first election in 1957, the IUML has maintained dominance within the constituency, besides throughout 1970 and 1977 (M. Ramappa), 1980 and 1982 (A. Subbarao), and 2006 (C.H. Kunjambu) when Left Democratic Entrance (LDF) candidates gained from the phase.

The Bharatiya Janata Celebration started making inroads into the constituency in 1987 when H. Shankara Alva completed second, pushing the LDF to the third spot. The social gathering’s place improved since 2011 when Okay. Surendran contested within the constituency. The phase has been drawing Statewide consideration since 2016 when Mr. Surendran misplaced by a skinny margin of 89 votes to IUML’s P.B. Abdul Razak. Although he didn’t contest within the 2019 bypoll, the social gathering introduced Mr. Surendran again to the fray in 2021 as within the 2019 bypoll the social gathering’ vote share had decreased significantly. The BJP’s choice to subject him as soon as once more has raised hopes among the many social gathering supporters as there was close to parity in votes between the 2 fronts within the 2021 Meeting election.

Nonetheless, the BJP faces a stiff problem from incumbent MLA and UDF candidate A.Okay.M. Ashraf who enjoys appreciable native assist. Current electoral developments appear to favour the UDF. Within the newest native physique elections, the UDF secured round 47% vote share within the constituency, rising the hole with the Nationwide Democratic Alliance’s (NDA) vote share, which polled about 31%.

The constituency contains eight panchayats—Enmakaje, Kumbla, Mangalpady, Manjeswaram, Meenja, Paivalike, Puthige and Vorkady. Each the UDF and the NDA have already begun election preparations within the constituency. Whereas the LDF doesn’t appear to have a robust profitable edge within the constituency, its vote share is prone to play a decisive function in figuring out the end result.

The LDF has fielded Communist Celebration of India (Marxist) district secretariat member Okay.R. Jayanandan in a constituency the place even slender shifts in vote share might show decisive.

SDPI stance

Searching for to regain relevance, the Social Democratic Celebration of India (SDPI) had proposed that it could again the LDF if it fielded Shanavas Padhoor, the previous vice-president of the Kasaragod district panchayat, as an Impartial candidate. With no optimistic response from the LDF, the SDPI is contemplating to subject its personal candidate in Manjeswaram for the primary time. Celebration leaders declare that the SDPI has round 7,000 votes within the constituency. The choice marks a shift from the social gathering’s earlier technique of not fielding candidates within the constituency, largely to stop the BJP from gaining floor. Native SDPI leaders say the transfer follows dissatisfaction amongst cadres who consider that the social gathering’s development has been restricted by the IUML management within the constituency.

Within the 2020 native physique elections, the SDPI gained two wards within the Manjeswaram grama panchayat, polling a complete of 1,860 votes. It had contested in eight wards then. Within the 2025 native physique polls, it contested in 13 wards within the panchayat and gained two. It almost doubled its vote share securing 3,617 votes altogether, reflecting a rising vote base however restricted electoral success.

New developments have begun to complicate the political arithmetic within the constituency.

Konkani Christians

A bit of the Konkani Latin Christian group has floated the concept of fielding an Impartial candidate, citing the failure of successive governments led by the UDF and the LDF to recognise them as Latin Catholics for reservation advantages. In accordance with leaders of the Konkani Latin Christian Affiliation, about 7,000 members of the group dwell in Manjeswaram. In contrast to different Latin Catholics in Kerala, they’re but to obtain the Different Backward Lessons standing and the related 4% reservation in authorities jobs and academic establishments. Whereas discussions inside the group are ongoing, opinions stay divided over whether or not contesting the election would profit their trigger.

Nonetheless, with smaller teams such because the SDPI, Impartial candidates and sections of the Konkani Christian group signalling unbiased strikes, their votes might grow to be decisive in a constituency the place victory margins are historically slender. Any fragmentation of the votes might considerably affect the end result in what is predicted to be one in all Kerala’s closest electoral battles.

Revealed – March 21, 2026 03:22 am IST



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