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How one seat will test the MVA’s unity

by Asia Today Team
March 2, 2026
in Opinion
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On February 26, the Election Fee (EC) issued a notification for the election to 37 Rajya Sabha seats in 10 States. Of them, seven seats are from Maharashtra. Amongst those that will full their tenures on April 2 this 12 months are leaders like Nationalist Congress Occasion-SP (NCP-SP) president Sharad Pawar and Union Minister Ramdas Athawale. As political events throughout alliances in Maharashtra attempt to acquire probably the most on the negotiating desk, the election to 1 Rajya Sabha seat is more likely to check the delicate unity of the Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA), a regional alliance of the INDIA bloc.

The most important questions this election will elevate for the MVA are whether or not the Congress can be prepared to compromise at a time when each the Rajya Sabha elections and Legislative Council elections are to happen in Maharashtra; whether or not Uddhav Thackeray will forsake his get together’s declare to the only real Rajya Sabha seat when his is the largest get together within the State’s Opposition; and what Sharad Pawar will determine. 

Negotiations are ongoing throughout the Mahayuti as nicely. Whereas the Bharatiya Janata Occasion (BJP) needs 4 seats, the NCP has declared Parth Pawar’s (Ajit Pawar’s son) title. Eknath Shinde is eager to get two seats.

The MVA tussle

The battle throughout the MVA throws gentle on the aspirations of every of the three events. It’s outlined by an simple shadow of mistrust in the direction of the NCP-SP, after talks of a merger with Ajit Pawar’s NCP have been revealed. In Maharashtra, the NCP (earlier led by Ajit Pawar and now by his spouse Sunetra Pawar) is in energy with the BJP as a part of the Mahayuti alliance. The NCP-SP (led by Sharad Pawar), then again, is part of the Opposition MVA, with Congress and Shiv Sena Uddhav Balasaheb Thackeray (UBT).

Whereas some leaders mentioned that the demise of Ajit Pawar had successfully halted the potential of a merger, others questioned whether or not the Rajya Sabha seat will stay with the INDIA bloc sooner or later, if the NCP-SP decides to go forward with the merger. “Even when Sharad Pawar himself might select to stick with the MVA, what if his get together goes forward with the merger?” requested a pacesetter. Some even raised issues about Sharad Pawar’s well being. He’s at the moment recovering at a hospital in Mumbai. The NCP-SP counts on the heft of a nationwide chief like Sharad Pawar to suggest that his candidature alone can result in an unopposed Rajya Sabha victory within the State.

In the meantime, the Shiv Sena UBT is eager to take this Rajya Sabha seat for itself. It believes that since it’s the largest get together within the alliance, and had left its stake in 2019 to help Fauzia Khan (NCP-SP), it needs to be supported for this bid. Whereas 5 leaders are within the fray, the choice appears to be for Priyanka Chaturvedi, whose time period expires subsequent month. “Now we have been a loyal accomplice within the INDIA bloc. Now we have taken up a number of nationwide points together with the Adani-sation of Mumbai. Our presence in Rajya Sabha is essential,” a Sena chief mentioned. The Congress, then again, feels the necessity to improve its presence within the Rajya Sabha to play an efficient position because the nationwide Opposition get together. “For us, every seat within the Parliament issues to strengthen Mallikarjun Kharge ji,” a Congress chief mentioned. The BJP has avoided issuing any assertion on the variations throughout the MVA up to now. However the potential of extra candidates being within the fray will solely nix the possibilities of unopposed elections, and can result in complicated quantity crunching in an open poll election. 

A sport of numbers

The quantity sport in Maharashtra is kind of clear. Rajya Sabha members are voted in by the MLAs of the State. In a Home of 288, the precise power in the present day is 286. The election quota for the Rajya Sabha election in Maharashtra is 36. Within the ruling Mahayuti, the BJP has 131 MLAs, Shiv Sena (Eknath Shinde) has 57 MLAs, and NCP has 40. Together with smaller allies, the Mahayuti power is 234. Successfully, it might probably simply elect six of the seven Rajya Sabha members. It would have a handful of extra votes too. On the Opposition aspect, the MVA can additionally elect one candidate on the premise of its cumulative power if it sticks collectively. The Shiv Sena UBT has 20 MLAs, the Congress has 16 and the NCP-SP has 10. Together with the smaller allies, its whole power is 52. The ultimate choice will now hinge on talks between the highest three leaders of the MVA. The Opposition will have the ability to maintain uncertainty at bay provided that it might probably obtain consensus.

Revealed – March 02, 2026 12:32 am IST



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