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Canada’s China recalibration: Rapprochement or risk-hedging?

by Asia Today Team
May 12, 2026
in Opinion
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What if the Strait of Hormuz didn’t reopen?


Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney drew international consideration at this 12 months’s World Financial Discussion board in Davos, Switzerland, the place he argued that center powers should coordinate extra intently as a way to counter coercive diplomacy by main powers. In Japan, nevertheless, Canada’s current diplomatic strikes — together with its first prime ministerial go to to China in additional than eight years — have generated blended reactions.

Whereas Carney emphasised the significance of center powers in his Davos speech, he additionally cited the institution of a “new strategic relationship” with China as a diplomatic achievement, prompting criticism that Canada is pursuing rapprochement with China or distancing itself from america. In actuality, Canada’s recalibration of relations with China could be understood much less as a strategic shift towards Beijing than as a cautious type of geoeconomic threat hedging, undertaken in response to the nation’s structural dependence on the U.S. and the volatility of the second Trump administration.

Deeply intertwined with america each geographically and institutionally, Canada’s economic system can also be extremely depending on america, with greater than 70% of exports and roughly 60% of imports tied to its southern neighbor. Nevertheless, following the return of the Trump administration in 2025, Canada turned one of many major targets of U.S. tariff measures and confronted repeated rounds of extra levies. U.S. President Donald Trump additionally made a collection of remarks that appeared to dismiss Canadian sovereignty, together with recommendations that Canada ought to grow to be “the 51st state.”



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