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When It Comes to Oil and Gas, Japan Can Still Say ‘No’ – The Diplomat

When It Comes to Oil and Gas, Japan Can Still Say ‘No’ – The Diplomat

December 1, 2025
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When It Comes to Oil and Gas, Japan Can Still Say ‘No’ – The Diplomat

by Asia Today Team
December 1, 2025
in Politics
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Though many Japanese proceed to view america as their main safety supplier and closest ally, some segments of the inhabitants have expressed rising discontent and unease concerning their authorities’s dealing with of relations with Washington. 

On the suitable, criticisms emerged concerning the $550 billion funding pledge that the previous Ishiba authorities made to the Trump administration. Conservative commentator Sakurai Yoshiko described the deal as a modern-day “unequal treaty,” likening it to the agreements that Meiji-era Japan was pressured to signal with imperial powers, arguing that Japan was being ripped off consequently. 

Whereas new Prime Minister Takaichi Sanae, who has promised to stick to this so-called “unequal treaty,” appears largely proof against conservative criticism, she has confronted assaults from the left for her dealing with of U.S. President Donald Trump. Critics on the left took difficulty along with her smiling reception of Trump, and with Japan’s buy of protection tools from america, which they view as opposite to Japan’s pacifist ideas. 

Nonetheless, whereas the main target of frustration differs alongside partisan strains, the underlying difficulty is similar: a frustration stemming from Japan’s incapability to say “no,” or no less than to speak its requests for a change after all instantly. 

This has been an ongoing theme in post-war Japan’s political discourse, and an autonomous streak among the many populace has typically pressured policymakers to regulate their overseas coverage approaches. Following Japan’s signing of the Japan-U.S. Safety Treaty in 1951, the independent-minded Hatoyama Ichiro administration criticized the earlier authorities for being too intently aligned with america and, in response, expanded Japan’s diplomatic outreach to communist and nonaligned nations.

Within the Nineteen Sixties, the Vietnam Struggle grew to become extremely unpopular among the many Japanese public, prompting the federal government to limit the train of collective self-defense to distance the nation from direct involvement within the battle, whilst bomber jets had been deployed from Okinawa to the warzone. 

On the peak of Japan’s financial prowess, nationalist politician Ishihara Shintaro and Sony co-founder Morita Akio printed a ebook titled “The Japan That Can Say ‘No.’” Following the Koizumi Junichiro administration’s help for the Iraq Struggle, there was widespread outcry from each the left and the proper that Japan was doggedly following america’ lead.

The assaults on Japanese overseas coverage from the political fringes spotlight an ongoing want for a really equal partnership with the U.S. On the similar time, the bulk’s normal acceptance of Japan occupying a subsidiary function to the U.S. has remained fixed all through the post-war period. For instance, 83 % of the general public seen Takaichi’s first assembly with Trump as successful.

Nonetheless, there have been instances when Japan would say “no” – notably on problems with vitality safety. Through the 1973 oil disaster, though the Richard Nixon administration requested that Japan help Israel, Tokyo as a substitute adopted an overtly pleasant stance towards the Arab nations to be able to safe an exemption from the oil embargo, which, if applied, would have been devastating for Japan’s industrial economic system. 

When Japan faces the necessity to safe its vitality provide – which it produces nearly none of domestically – it tends to grow to be imaginative and energetic in each diplomatic and navy arenas. As Eric Heginbotham and Richard Samuels articulated, throughout the onset of world warfare on terror Japan was taking a “twin hedge technique” between america and Arab nations – managing the alliance, whereas reassuring Japan’s vitality suppliers that Tokyo had no malice towards them. 

The primary Japanese abroad navy base, established in Djibouti in 2011, was ostensibly supposed for anti-piracy missions. Nonetheless, on condition that the Pink Sea, the place the bottom is situated, is a crucial route for Japan’s oil imports, the vitality safety facet of the bottom is obvious. 

When Russia annexed Crimea in 2014, Japan imposed solely meager sanctions, out of concern for its oil and gasoline entry. It’s an open secret that Japan nonetheless imports a non-negligible quantity of vitality assets from Russia. Whereas Takaichi’s overtures and guarantees to america made headlines at her bilateral conferences with Trump, her authorities has additionally declined U.S. calls for to halt exports of Russian gasoline from Sakhalin.

A slender view of Japanese overseas coverage via the lens of the Japan-U.S. alliance portrays Japan as a junior accomplice with no unbiased overseas coverage. This angle, typically related to Japanese nationalists, is inaccurate. Japan is a sovereign nation that may – and does – pursue an autonomous overseas coverage when it chooses, notably in issues of vitality safety, a sample that has been constant traditionally.



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